01 Eval risk-to-reward
"Most likely be trading a 1.5 risk-to-reward just because a 1.5 is a $2,000 to $3,000 limit." Rule: R:R on eval should just equal the account's own profit-target ÷ max-loss ratio — nothing fancier.
| Contracts | Stop (points) | Target (points) | Same $ risk/reward? |
|---|
This mirrors JJ's own tiering — 25pt/38pt, 50pt/76pt, 12.5pt/19pt on his evals — where the dollar stop and target never change, only how many points and contracts deliver them, so a tighter setup can still use the same static dollar risk. Point value defaults to $20/point (NQ) since 25pt/38pt at $20 lines up almost exactly with a $500/$750 stop and target.
| Symbol | $/point | To match 1 mini | To match 2 minis |
|---|---|---|---|
| NQ (E-mini Nasdaq) | $20 | 1 NQ | 2 NQ |
| MNQ (Micro Nasdaq) | $2 | 10 MNQ | 20 MNQ |
| ES (E-mini S&P) | $50 | 1 ES | 2 ES |
| MES (Micro S&P) | $5 | 10 MES | 20 MES |
| GC (Gold, 100oz) | $100 | 1 GC | 2 GC |
| MGC (Micro Gold, 10oz) | $10 | 10 MGC | 20 MGC |
Every mini:micro pair here is a clean 10x ratio, so the same "10/20 to match" rule holds across all three: if you're sizing in MNQ, trade 10 contracts to match 1 NQ's dollar-per-point exposure, or 20 to match 2 NQ — same logic for MES vs. ES and MGC vs. GC. Swap the point-value field above to match whichever symbol you're actually trading.
02 Cost to funded & breakeven pass rate
"That means it cost you 400 bucks to get the funded account... you can just do 100 times four."
03 Funded expected value & return multiple
"Funded, you need to maximize your expected value... the probability of getting a payout multiplied by how large that payout is."
JJ's own stated target band is roughly 3–4×. Auto-fills from Section 02's cost-to-funded output until you edit it directly.
04 Full funnel — net EV across N attempts
Worked example check: 100 attempts, 30% pass, 40% payout-given-pass, $4,000 payout, $250/eval → $23,000 net. This calculator reproduces that math for your own numbers.
05 Risk of ruin
"Ideally this number is less than 0.005 — half a percent." Risk of ruin = (1 − pass rate × payout rate) ^ number of accounts your bankroll affords.
Curve shows risk of ruin against number of accounts bought, holding your pass rate × payout rate fixed. Dashed line marks the 0.5% target. Hover to read exact values.
06 Value-at-risk by account state
"The same $1,000 loss reduces expected cash by different amounts... there is no universal multiplier. Rerun the numbers when the state changes." Value lost = (risk ÷ remaining drawdown room) × current account value.
State A — e.g. fresh funded
State B — e.g. $2K in profit
07 Which funded target has higher EV?
"0.33 of 2,000... 0.5 of 1,000... this trade seems more plus EV." Compare two candidate targets on a funded account by EV, not by which feels more likely to land.